The 2015 French Open has been pared down to eight men and eight women as they head down the home stretch to Sunday’s finals at Roland Garros.
Only two of the top ten seeds remain on the women’s side, with both No. 2 Maria Sharapova and No. 4 Petra Kvitova both falling in the fourth round. Only No. 1 seed Serena Williams and No. 7 Ana Ivanovic remain from the higher seeds.
The lower seeds on the women’s side are well represented with No. 17 Sara Errani set to face Serena in one quarterfinal (Serena is 8-0 lifetime against Errani). 23-seed Swiss international Timea Bacsinszky, fresh off her fourth-round upset of Kvitova, will face unseeded Alison van Uytvanck of Belgium in the first-ever meeting.
On the lower half of the women’s bracket, Ivanovic will take on 19-seed Elina Svitolina of Ukraine; Ivanovic has won all six of her matches against Svitolina. The last quarterfinal features 21-seed Garbine Muguruza versus 13-seed Lucie Safarova of the Czech Republic (the two have never faced each other)—Safarova was responsible for the Sharapova upset.
Serena is the only American left in Paris after unseeded Jack Sock’s valiant effort against Rafael Nadal fell short; Sock lost in four sets.
The men’s quarterfinal is an all-top-14 seed affair with seven of the top ten seeds represented. Top seed Novak Djokovic will have to go through defending clay court ruler Nadal (6-seed) to get to the semis. 3-seed Andy Murray takes on Spanish clay specialist David Ferrer (7-seed).
On the bottom half of the men’s draw, there’s an enticing matchup between French favorite Jo-Willy Tsonga—who ousted 4-seed Tomas Berdych in the fourth round—and 5-seed Kei Nishikori who may be playing the best tennis out of anyone left in the draw. The remaining quarterfinal match features 8-seed Stan Wawrinka versus the consummate professional, Roger Federer (No. 2 seed).
With Sharapova gone, Serena is the overwhelming favorite (largely 8/13 odds) to win the title, as reported by the sportsbooks monitored by Oddschecker; Muguruza and Ivanovic are given the next-best odds at approximately 7/1-8/1.
On the men’s side, handicappers list five favorites with a reasonable shot at winning it all. Djokovic (4/5) and Nadal (4/1) lead the way, followed by Murray (8/1) and Nishikori (9/1). Federer is in it with a shout at a little over 9/1 as well.
Tsonga will have the full voice of the French faithful behind him, but Nishikori is 4-1 all-time against the towering Frenchman. Federer has owned Wawrinka with a 16-2 record against his fellow Swiss countryman.
Things between Murray and Ferrer are far more even with the Scotsman owning a 9-6 advantage. Nadal and Djokovic have faced each other 43 times with the Spaniard owning a slight edge at 23 wins, 20 losses against his nemesis.